Document Type

Article

Publication Date

9-9-2021

Abstract

This study examined whether patterns of self-organization in physical activity (PA) predicted long-term success in a yearlong PA intervention. Increased moderate to vigorous PA (MVPA) was targeted in insufficiently active adults (N = 512) via goal setting and financial reinforcement. The degree to which inverse power law distributions, which are reflective of self-organization, summarized (a) daily MVPA and (b) time elapsed between meeting daily goals (goal attainment interresponse times) was calculated. Goal attainment interresponse times were also used to calculate burstiness, the degree to which meeting daily goals clustered in time. Inverse power laws accurately summarized interresponse times, but not daily MVPA. For participants with higher levels of MVPA early in the study, burstiness in reaching goals was associated with long-term resistance to intervention, while stochasticity in meeting goals predicted receptiveness to intervention. These results suggest that burstiness may measure self-organizing resistance to change, while PA stochasticity could be a precondition for behavioral malleability.

Comments

This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology, volume 43, issue 5, in 2021 following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version is available online at https://doi.org/10.1123/jsep.2020-0340.

Copyright

Human Kinetics, Inc.

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