Authors

Amanda McGrosky, Duke University
Amy Luke, Loyola University
Leonore Arab, University of California, Los Angeles
Kweku Bedu-Addo, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology
Alberto G. Bonomi, Phillips Research, The Netherlands
Pascal Bovet, University of Lausanne
Soren Brage, University of Cambridge
Maciej S. Buchowski, Vanderbilt University
Nancy Butte, Baylor College of Medicine
Stefan G. Camps, Singapore Institute for Clinical Sciences
Regina Casper, Stanford University
Daniel K. Cummings, Chapman University
Sai Krupa Das, Tufts University
Sanjoy Deb, Anglia Ruskin University
Lara R. Dugas, Loyola University
Ulf Ekelund, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences
Terrence Forrester, University of the West Indies
Barry W. Fudge, University of Glasgow
Melanie Gillingham, Oregon Health and Science University
Annelies H. Goris, OnePlanet Research Center, The Netherlands
Michael Gurven, University of California, Santa BarbaraFollow
Catherine Hambly, University of Aberdeen
Annemiek Joosen, Maastricht University Medical Centre
Peter T. Katzmarzyk, Pennington Biomedical Research Center
Kitty P. Kempen, Maastricht University Medical Centre
William E. Kraus, Duke University
Wantanee Kriengsinyos, Mahidol University
Rebecca Kuriyan, St. John's Research Institute, India
Robert F. Kushner, Northwestern University
Estelle V. Lambert, University of Cape Town
Christel L. Larsson, University of Gothenburg
William R. Leonard, Northwestern University
Nader Lessan, Imperial College London
Marie Löf, Karolinska Institutet
Corby K. Martin, Pennington Biomedical Research Center
Anine C. Medin, University of Oslo
Marian L. Neuhouser, University of Washington
Kirsi H. Pietilainen, Helsinki University Central Hospital
Guy Plasqui, Maastricht University
Ross L. Prentice, University of Washington
Susan B. Racette, Arizona State University
David A. Raichlen, University of Southern California
Eric Ravussin, Pennington Biomedical Research Center
Leanne Redman, Pennington Biomedical Research Center
Rebecca M. Reynolds, University of Edinburgh
Eric B. Rimm, Harvard University
Susan Roberts, Dartmouth College
Asher Y. Rosinger, Pennsylvania State University
Mary H. Samuels, Oregon Health and Science University
Srishti Sinha, St. John's Research Institute, India
J. Josh Snodgrass, University of Oregon
Eric Stice, Stanford University
Ricardo Uauy, University of Chile
Samuel S. Urlacher, Baylor University
Jeanine A. Verbunt, Maastricht University
Bruce Wolfe, Oregon Health and Science University
Brian Wood, University of California, Los Angeles
Xueying Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Alexia J. Murphy-Alford, International Atomic Energy Agency, Austria
Cornelia J. Loechl, International Atomic Energy Agency, Austria
Jennifer Rood, Pennington Biomedical Research Center
Hiroyuki Sagayama, University of Tsukuba
Dale A. Schoeller, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Klaas R. Westerterp, Maastricht University
William W. Wong, Baylor College of Medicine
Yosuke Yamada, Tohoku University
John R. Speakman, University of Aberdeen
Herman Pontzer, Duke University
The IAEA DLW Database Consortium

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

7-14-2025

Abstract

Global economic development has been associated with an increased prevalence of obesity and related health problems. Increased caloric intake and reduced energy expenditure are both cited as development-related contributors to the obesity crisis, but their relative importance remains unresolved. Here, we examine energy expenditure and two measures of obesity (body fat percentage and body mass index, BMI) for 4,213 adults from 34 populations across six continents and a wide range of lifestyles and economies, including hunter-gatherer, pastoralist, farming, and industrialized populations. Economic development was positively associated with greater body mass, BMI, and body fat, but also with greater total, basal, and activity energy expenditure. Body size–adjusted total and basal energy expenditures both decreased approximately 6 to 11% with increasing economic development, but were highly variable among populations and did not correspond closely with lifestyle. Body size–adjusted total energy expenditure was negatively, but weakly, associated with measures of obesity, accounting for roughly one-tenth of the elevated body fat percentage and BMI associated with economic development. In contrast, estimated energy intake was greater in economically developed populations, and in populations with available data (n = 25), the percentage of ultraprocessed food in the diet was associated with body fat percentage, suggesting that dietary intake plays a far greater role than reduced energy expenditure in obesity related to economic development.

Comments

This article was originally published in PNAS, volume 122, issue 29, in 2025. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2420902122

pnas.2420902122.sapp.pdf (1491 kB)
Appendix 01 (PDF)

pnas.2420902122.sd01.docx (37 kB)
Dataset S01 (DOCX)

Peer Reviewed

1

Copyright

The authors

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

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