Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2014
Abstract
This experimental study compares sequential and simultaneous election contests. Consistent with the theory, we find evidence of the “New Hampshire effect” in the sequential contests, i.e., the winner of the first electoral battle wins the overall contest with much higher probability than the loser of the first battle. However, contrary to the theory, sequential contests generate higher expenditure than the simultaneous contests. This is mainly because in the sequential contests losers of the first battle do not decrease their expenditure in the second battle while winners of the first battle increase (instead of decreasing) their expenditure in the second battle. We discuss the implications of our findings both for policy makers and social scientists.
Recommended Citation
Irfanoglu, Z.B., Mago, S.D., & Sheremeta, R.M. (2014). The New Hampshire effect: Behavior in sequential and simultaneous election contests. ESI Working Paper 14-15. Retrieved from http://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/esi_working_papers/11
Comments
Working Paper 14-15